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BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH
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Report title
:
Emerging Insight
Report Subtitle
:
Philippines economic ties with China
Report Published on
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Apr 18, 2024
Analyst name
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GEMs FI Strategy & Economics
Key Takeaways:
-Increasing tensions between China and Philippines already appear to be impacting trade, tourism and investments -The decline in Philippines exports to China, tourism and investment from China, appears worse than with the rest of the world
Report title
:
Emerging Insight
Report Subtitle
:
Bond/yield spread: two separate markets + a bit of a fiscal play
Report Published on
:
Apr 16, 2024
Analyst name
:
GEMs FI Strategy & Economics
Key Takeaways:
-We do not find any strong relationship between fiscal, macro and financial variables and asset swap spreads in South Africa. -Bonds/swaps look like two separate markets with different participants and liquidity, with occasional impact from fiscal. -Investors could take positions in ASW spreads ahead of major events (budget, elections) if there is market mispricing.
Report title
:
Emerging Insight
Report Subtitle
:
Mexico – Banxico is likely to keep cutting without the Fed
Report Published on
:
Apr 15, 2024
Analyst name
:
GEMs FI Strategy & Economics
Key Takeaways:
-Our US team now expects the Fed to start its easing cycle in December, and US inflation to be more stubborn in the near term. -We still expect Banxico to keep cutting rates as core inflation is falling, the economy has weakened and the peso is strong. -But the Fed limits Banxico and thus we expect the rate at 9.50% by end-24 (9.25% before) and 8.00% by end-25 (7.50% before).
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Primers
Report title
:
GEMs Paper
Report Subtitle
:
EEMEA Equities: all you need to know on 100+ pages – our annual primer 2024
Report Published on
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Apr 03, 2024
Analyst name
:
Vladimir Osakovskiy
Key Takeaways:
-We update our EEMEA equity annual primer: for 11 markets we analyse valuations, performance, macro drivers & policy outlook -We provide a snapshot of changes to country, sector, profit, volume weights in EEMEA -See inside 300+ charts & 30+ correlation tables (single stock screens with key macro drivers) on 100+ pages
Report title
:
MENA Banks
Report Subtitle
:
MENA mortgage primer: Home is where the heart is
Report Published on
:
Jul 05, 2023
Analyst name
:
Olga Veselova
Key Takeaways:
-MENA mortgage industry is big for its young age -$350bn- more than the rest of EEMEA. We see potential to reach $500bn in 5Y. -In Saudi, the boom is over, but growth potential still exists - driven by demographics. Credit risks may have to go up. -In Saudi - we are Neutral on Al Rajhi; prefer SNB and SAB. In the UAE - Buy on ADIB; in Kuwait - Buy on NBK.
Report title
:
GEMs Paper
Report Subtitle
:
ESG Matters: EEMEA 2023 primer
Report Published on
:
Apr 28, 2023
Analyst name
:
Vladimir Osakovskiy
Key Takeaways:
-Poland is new ESG leader in EEMEA, S. Africa stays second best and OW, GCC scores lower & UW (ex.UAE). Hungary improved most -ESG focus boosts inflows and positioning. Since start of '22, EEMEA saw $1.1bn in equity outflows, vs $1.5bn in ESG inflows. -See inside 80-page deep-dive: EEMEA countries/sectors - ESG trajectory, performance, posit (most OW/UW stocks).
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